Conor right here: John Helmer particulars one other German common making an attempt to hit the brakes on Berlin’s assist for Ukraine earlier than the practice goes fully off the tracks.
Sadly, retired Main Basic Harald Kujat’s claims have been ignored within the US and in Germany. That Kujat says the US media have been much less misleading of their reporting of the battle than the German press actually offers you an concept of how unhealthy the censorship is there.
Wolfgang Streeck wrote not too long ago in New Left Evaluate about how stifling the setting has develop into:
In different respects as properly, the hall of the sayable is quickly, and frighteningly, narrowing. As with the destruction of the pipelines, the strongest taboos relate to the function of the US, each within the historical past of the battle and within the current. In admissible public speech, the Ukrainian battle – which is predicted to be termed ‘Putin’s battle of aggression’ (Angriffskrieg) by all loyal residents – turns into solely de-contextualized: it has no historical past exterior of the ‘narrative’ of a decade-long brooding of a mad dictator within the Kremlin over find out how to finest wipe out the Ukrainian individuals, facilitated by the stupidity, mixed with greed, of the Germans falling for his low cost gasoline. As this author came upon when an interview he had given to the net version of a centre-right German weekly, Cicero, was reduce with out session, amongst what’s to not be talked about in well mannered German society are the American rejection of Gorbachev’s ‘Frequent European House’, the subversion inside the US of Clinton’s mission of a ‘Partnership for Peace’, and the rebuff as late as 2010 of Putin’s proposal of a European free commerce zone ‘from Lisbon to Vladivostok’. Equally unmentionable is the truth that by the mid-Nineties on the newest, the US had determined that the border of post-communist Europe must be similar to the western border of post-communist Russia, which might even be the japanese border of NATO, to the west of which there have been to be no restrictions by any means on the stationing of troops and weapons methods. The identical holds for the in depth American strategic debates on ‘extending Russia’, as documented in publicly accessible working papers of the RAND Company.
Extra examples of the publicly unsayable embody the traditionally unprecedented arms build-up on the a part of the US in the course of the ‘battle on terror’, accompanied by the unilateral termination of all remaining arms management agreements with the Soviet Union of previous; the unrelenting American stress on Germany to switch Russian pure gasoline with American liquid pure gasoline after the invention of fracking, culminating within the American choice lengthy earlier than the battle to shut down Nord stream 2, a method or different; the peace negotiations that preceded the battle, together with the Minsk agreements between Germany, France, Russia and Ukraine, negotiated by amongst others the then German overseas minister, Frank-Walter Steinmeier, which fell aside below stress from the Obama administration and its particular envoy for US-Ukrainian relations, the then Vice President Joe Biden, coinciding with a radicalization of Ukrainian nationalism.
Helmer additionally makes an essential level in regards to the military-industrial advanced in Germany and weapons firms’ alliance with the war-mongering Inexperienced Social gathering. In a separate submit at present, we have a look at the Inexperienced (and particularly overseas minister Baerbock) efforts to extend Germany’s involvement within the Ukraine battle.
By John Helmer who has been the longest constantly serving overseas correspondent in Russia, and the one western journalist to have directed his personal bureau unbiased of single nationwide or industrial ties. Helmer has additionally been a professor of political science, and advisor to authorities heads in Greece, the US, and Asia. Initially revealed at Dances with Bears
A recent German common has issued a public warning that the battle on the Ukrainian battlefield by the US and NATO armies is misplaced, and that Germany will likely be misplaced subsequent if the advance of the Russian forces towards Kiev and Lvov isn’t halted shortly by an armistice, partition and demilitarization of the Ukraine, and time to rebuild the German military.
Retired Main Basic Harald Kujat — son of a Wehrmacht soldier killed combating the Crimson Military who grew as much as develop into chief of the German military after which of the NATO navy staffs — is the creator of a navy evaluation by which he blames the German press, ex-Chancellor Angela Merkel, British prime minister Boris Johnson, and different NATO allies he doesn’t title for a brand new German model of the stab within the again .
On this scheme, in keeping with Kujat, the NATO allies have aimed toward sabotaging Germany’s energy in Europe. That is being carried out, he mentioned, by escalating the “threat of a traditional assault on Germany”, and “pursuing the purpose of exposing Germany to Russia specifically”. With out explicitly concentrating on the US, Kujat blames Washington for establishing a direct nuclear risk to Russia within the Aegis missile batteries now put in in Poland and Romania; for making Germany a direct social gathering to the battle within the Ukraine by permitting “the US [to] practice Ukrainian troopers in Germany”; and for destroying the Nord Stream gasoline pipelines to Germany.
Kujat’s evaluation was revealed in Switzerland on January 18; German publication adopted on January 20. Attacked prior to now by mainstream German media, and by US authorities officers, Kujat’s new assertion has been ignored in Germany and the US.
“The longer the battle lasts, the higher the chance of growth or escalation,” Kujat warned, including the German military, German territorial safety, and German industrial would possibly would be the loser as a result of “Russia might surpass the Western escalation at any time with its personal.” Kujat meant this to incorporate using nuclear weapons.
Kujat is essentially the most senior German officer to make public an assault on the German and allied battle to defeat Russia in Europe.
He follows Vice Admiral Kay-Achim Schönbach, head of the German Navy, who was pressured to resign in January 2022, after a public speech by which he mentioned that “the Crimea Peninsula is gone: It can by no means come again — it is a truth”; and that Russian safety issues must be addressed with “respect”. “What [Putin] actually needs is respect. And, my God, giving somebody respect is low value, even no value. … It’s straightforward to present him the respect he actually calls for — and possibly additionally deserves.”
After Schönbach’s ouster, no serving German officers have dared to threat public criticism of the battle coverage in Germany. As a substitute, they’re expressing themselves via retired officers. Brigadier Basic Erich Vad, the ex-head of the navy group in Merkel’s chancellery, issued an in depth assault earlier this month; learn the main points right here.
Referring to the resistance by Chancellor Olaf Scholz to sending German Leopard tanks to the Ukraine, Kujat says “the controversy over the availability of sure weapons methods clearly reveals the intention of many media retailers to make coverage themselves. It might be that my unease about this improvement is a consequence of my a few years of service in NATO, together with as chairman of the NATO-Russia Council and the NATO-Ukraine Fee of Chiefs of Workers. I discover it significantly annoying that German safety pursuits and the risks to our nation posed by an growth and escalation of the battle are given so little consideration. This reveals a scarcity of accountability or, to make use of an old style time period, a extremely unpatriotic perspective.”
Kujat claims to “have all the time believed that this battle have to be prevented and that it might have been prevented”. That this has not been the result he blames on Merkel for her coverage of deceiving Russia, calling that “a blatant breach of belief” and “a breach of worldwide legislation, that’s clear.”
The turning level within the Russian-German safety steadiness of forces started in Washington in 2002, Kujat says, when US President George W. Bush cancelled the anti-ballistic missile (ABM) treaty, after which in 2008 when Bush “tried to push via an invite from Ukraine and Georgia to affix NATO”. The Obama Administration’s choice in 2009 to deploy “NATO’s ballistic missile protection system in Poland and Romania” was a brand new escalation “as a result of Russia is satisfied that the US might additionally remove Russian intercontinental strategic methods from these launch Amenities and thus endanger the nuclear strategic steadiness.”
Germany’s survival is imperiled by this nuclear imbalance, in keeping with Kujat, as a result of Russian nuclear arms are actually straight threatened by the US, and by the escalation of typical US and NATO weapons on the Ukrainian battlefield. “You need to reckon with that. The longer the battle lasts, the higher the chance of growth or escalation. [Question: We already had this in the Cuban Missile Crisis?] It was a comparable scenario.”
Like Vad, Kujat has been obliged to publish via a small-circulation Zurich journal, Zeitgeschehen im Fokus (“Present Occasions in Focus”), after which in an obscure German publication primarily based in Frankfurt; known as Overton, an English revolutionary title, this journal reveals nothing about itself besides that it’s “a voice in opposition to debate constriction and moralism. It questions the overall narratives and is decidedly not an ideological mouthpiece or organ of pronouncement, however feels dedicated to the Enlightenment.” Vad revealed his navy evaluation in Emma, a Cologne feminist journal.
Vad was express in his criticism of Merkel and the present German overseas minister, Annalena Baerbock. Regardless of being requested about her in his interview, Kujat avoids attacking Baerbock by title. He additionally claims the US media have been much less misleading of their reporting of the battle than the German press, citing an “article in International Affairs…by Fiona Hill, a former senior White Home Nationwide Safety Council official. She may be very competent and completely dependable.”
Kujat blames the British, not the People, for disrupting the ceasefire phrases he believes the Kremlin was able to signal following the Istanbul negotiations on the finish of March 2022. Comply with what occurred in Moscow and in Istanbul on the time on this report.
In Kujat’s model, “Russia had apparently [sic] agreed to withdraw its forces to the extent of February 23, i.e. earlier than the assault on Ukraine started. Now the whole withdrawal is repeatedly demanded as a prerequisite for negotiations… Ukraine had pledged to surrender NATO membership and to not enable any overseas troops or navy installations to be stationed. In return, it ought to obtain safety ensures from states of its selection. The way forward for the occupied territories must be resolved diplomatically inside 15 years, with the express renunciation of navy drive… In response to dependable data [sic], the then British Prime Minister Boris Johnson intervened in Kiev on ninth April and prevented a signing. His reasoning was that the West was not prepared for an finish to the battle.”
Kujat didn’t reveal the “obvious” and “dependable” sources for his claims. He additionally seems to sign that US officers weren’t behind Johnson’s motion, and what Kujat additionally calls President Vladimir Zelensky’s “repeatedly chang[ing] the strategic targets of Ukrainian warfare”.
Kujat has misrepresented and misreported Hill’s function in escalating US battle goals in opposition to Russia for a number of years; for proof of this, click on to learn the archive. Kujat has accomplished the identical in claiming Johnson, not US officers, have managed Zelensky.
Like Vad earlier this month, Kujat appeals to the Pentagon, US navy officers, and US weapons makers to cease the escalation of the battle on the Ukrainian battlefield as Russian strategic targets harden, and the tactical defeat of US, German and NATO weapons turns into inevitable. “In response to the US Joint Chiefs of Workers, Basic Mark Milley,” Kujat says, “Ukraine has achieved what it might obtain militarily. Extra will not be doable. That’s the reason diplomatic efforts must be made now to realize a negotiated peace. I share this view… it’s questionable whether or not the Ukrainian armed forces nonetheless have a enough variety of appropriate troopers to have the ability to use these weapons methods in view of the big losses of latest months. In any case, [Ukrainian Chief of Staff General Valery] Zaluzhny’s assertion additionally explains why Western arms provides don’t allow Ukraine to realize its navy targets, however solely delay the battle. As well as, Russia might surpass the Western escalation at any time with its personal. Within the German dialogue, these connections are usually not understood or ignored. The best way by which some [sic] allies are attempting to publicly urge the federal authorities to ship Leopard 2 battle tanks additionally performs a job. This has not occurred in NATO thus far. It reveals how a lot Germany’s status within the alliance has suffered because of the weakening of the Bundeswehr and the dedication with which some allies are pursuing the purpose of exposing Germany to Russia specifically.”
Kujat implies that Chancellor Olaf Scholz is being secretly pressured by the US for causes Kujat doesn’t need to reveal now — apart from his trace that the People and British intention to weaken Germany politically in Europe, and supplant the German arms trade with their very own firms. “The present efforts of the USA to induce the Europeans to provide additional arms might have one thing to do with this case. A distinction have to be made between the publicly expressed causes and the concrete choices of the Federal Authorities. It might go too far [sic] to enter the entire spectrum of this dialogue. Nonetheless, I would love the Federal Authorities to obtain actually competent recommendation on this subject and – maybe much more importantly – to be receptive and able to judgement in accordance with the significance of this subject.”
Kujat additionally omits to say Baerbock’s and the Inexperienced Social gathering’s alliance with Germany’s aerospace and defence trade to safe Inexperienced votes in Kiel, Dusseldorf, Munich, and different metropolis and state (Bundesland) electorates the place the Greens intention to attract massive vote swings from the Social Democratic Social gathering (SDP) and the Christian Democratic Union (CDU).
Kiel is residence to Krauss-Maffei Wegmann Maschinenbau, builder of the Leopard tank. Within the Kiel parliamentary vote of 2021, the Greens gained virtually 14% to attain 28% of the entire, whereas the SDP misplaced floor however held on to the seat with 29.5%. Simply over two thousand votes separated them. The anti-war Left and Alliance for Germany (AfD) candidates misplaced floor in Kiel, ending up with 5% and simply over 7,000 votes every. In Dusseldorf, headquarters for the Rheinmetall group, the Greens gained 13% in 2021 from the SDP and CDU, shedding narrowly to the CDU. Related vote switches to the Greens have been recorded in Essen and Duisburg, the place Thyssen-Krupp directs its navy industrial advanced.
Kujat’s hyperlinks to those main German arms makers are indicated by his chairmanship of the advisory council of the Community Centric Operations Business Consortium, an affiliation of US, German and different European weapons makers. For extra on the prospects of the German companies he and the consortium signify, learn this.
Kujat is warning that defeat of the US and NATO by the Russian forces within the Ukraine places the longer term profitability of this enterprise in jeopardy. “That is the present scenario by which fashionable Western weapons methods are used within the Ukraine battle. In December, Russia launched an in depth program to guage the technical and operational-tactical parameters of captured Western weapons, which ought to improve the effectiveness of its personal operations and weapon effectiveness.”